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Minutes of the Board’s discount rate meetings from February 25 through March 20, 2019Read More
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, March 19-20, 2019Read More
Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the March 19-20 FOMC meetingPublished on March 20, 2019
Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the March 19-20 FOMC meetingRead More
Minutes of the Board’s discount rate meetings on January 22 and January 30, 2019Read More
Speeches and Testimony
Speech At the “Fed Family” Luncheon at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, San Francisco, CaliforniaRead More
Speech At the Washington Policy Summit sponsored by Institute of International Finance, Washington, D.C.Read More
Speech At the Financial Stability Board Roundtable on Reforming Major Interest Rate Benchmarks, Washington, D.C.Read More
Clarida, The Federal Reserve’s Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication PracticesPublished on April 9, 2019
Speech At the “Fed Listens: Distributional Consequences of the Cycle and Monetary Policy” Conference hosted by the Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Minneapolis, MinnesotaRead More
Speech At the Conference of State Bank Supervisors, Washington, D.C.Read More
Speech At the 2019 European Bank Executive Committee Forum “The Future of Banking: The Human Factor,” Brussels, BelgiumRead More
The New York Fed will incorporate selected deposits into the daily calculation of the Overnight Bank Funding Rate (OBFR) from May 2, 2019, reflecting underlying transactions from May 1, 2019.Read More
Small Employer Firms Say Revenues and Hiring Were Stronger For 2018, Though 2019 Outlook Is More TemperedPublished on April 16, 2019
Federal Reserve Banks’ Small Business Report Finds Strong Revenue and Employment Growth with Profitability Similar to Prior Year; Financing Demand Stable, Requests to Online Lenders Notably IncreasingRead More
Due to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association’s recommended market close on Friday, April 19, 2019, Good Friday will be widely treated as a holiday in the repo market, and there will be no publication of the Secured Overnight Finan…Read More
Statement Regarding the Reverse Repurchase and SOMA Securities Lending Operations on Thursday April 18, 2019Published on April 5, 2019
Due to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association’s recommended market close on Friday, April 19, 2019, all reverse repurchase agreement and securities lending trades executed on Thursday, April 18 will mature on Monday, April 22, 2019.Read More
The New York Fed’s Open Market Trading Desk concluded the small value dollar roll exercise.Read More
The New York Fed’s Open Market Trading Desk intends to conduct one small value agency MBS purchase operation of the Uniform Mortgage-Backed Security (UMBS) TBA contract, which will occur on Thursday, April 4, 2019, beginning around 2:00 PM ET and endin…Read More
Working natural gas in storage in the Lower 48 states at the end of March totaled 1,137 billion cubic feet (Bcf) according to EIA’s Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report. As of March 31, the usual end of the natural gas withdrawal season, working natural gas inventories were 30% lower than the previous five-year average for that time of year. This end-of-season level was the lowest since 2014, when working natural gas inventories at the end of March 2014 totaled 837 Bcf.Read More
EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook forecasts that the typical U.S. residential household will consume about 3,080 kilowatthours of electricity this summer (June through August), down 5% from the average summer consumption in 2018. If this forecast is realized, it would be the lowest level of electricity consumption per customer since 2014 and the second-lowest level since 2001. EIA expects summer electricity consumption will be lower than in 2017 because of milder projected temperatures.Read More
Despite crude oil price declines in the fourth quarter, 2018 was the most profitable year for U.S. oil producers since 2013 (4/17/2019)Published on April 17, 2019
Net income for 43 U.S. oil producers reached a five-year high in 2018, totaling $28 billion. Based on this metric, 2018 was the most profitable year for these U.S. oil producers since 2013, despite average West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices that were $33 dollars per barrel (b) lower in 2018 than in 2013, as well as an approximate 40% within-quarter decline in prices in the fourth quarter. Lower production costs per barrel of oil equivalent (BOE) and increased production levels contributed to the highest return on equity—defined as the $28 billion in net income generated as a share of average shareholder equity—for the fourth quarter of 2018 than any quarter in the 2013–18 period. As a result of higher net income, more companies have been funding investments through cash from operating activities, meaning that these producers are relying less on outside sources of capital for new exploration and development. …Read More
In the April 2019 update of its Summer Fuels Outlook, EIA expects the retail price of U.S. regular-grade gasoline will average $2.76 per gallon (gal) during the summer from April through September 2019. EIA’s expected average is down 3% from the 2018 summer average of $2.85/gal, mainly because EIA expects crude oil prices will be lower than last summer. EIA publishes the Summer Fuels Outlook as a supplement to its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO).Read More
Primary energy consumption in the United States reached a record high of 101.3 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu) in 2018, up 4% from 2017 and 0.3% above the previous record set in 2007. The increase in 2018 was the largest increase in energy cons…Read More
In 2018, U.S. exports of crude oil rose to 2.0 million barrels per day (b/d), nearly double the 1.2 million b/d rate in 2017. Export volumes by destination changed significantly during the year, as U.S. crude oil exports to China fell and exports to ot…Read More
Ben Bernanke's News
Despite a long and sustained recovery from the Great Recession, a number of factors—including an aging population, slow productivity growth, and subdued inflation—continue to exert downward pressure on U.S. interest rates. It seems likely that even when monetary policy is at a neutral setting, neither restraining nor stimulating the economy, interest rates will remain significantly…Read More
Why was the Great Recession so deep? Certainly, the collapse of the housing bubble was the key precipitating event; falling house prices depressed consumer wealth and spending while leading to sharp reductions in residential construction. However, as I argue in a new paper and blog post, the most damaging aspect of the unwinding bubble was…Read More
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